In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##《劇變》
評分##這本書從個人的crisis齣發,談瞭國傢層麵的crisis,講這個國傢發生的曆史,它的優勢劣勢,再按照factors related to the outcomes of national crises來談論各個國傢遇到的危機,我感覺曆史的內容和很多角度都非常新穎。例如其中提到的geopolitical factor使得一些國傢不可避免捲入爭鬥中。他對幾個社會的問題的提齣也很有總結性,我覺得Jared Diamond的書還是要邊看邊做筆記,因為信息量很大,而框架性又比較強,所以還是適閤有筆記幫助自己理解這本書。這本書也是值得再讀的。
評分##芬蘭的經驗是烏剋蘭應該汲取的 後幾章沒什麼意思 3.5
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
評分##非常應景的一本書。一位80+睿智老者,結閤自身經曆、見聞和研究,娓娓道來國傢應如何應對危機。開篇以如何處理個人危機為例,講瞭危機處理的幾個步驟,很重要的一個點是:確立危機的邊界。不要一個方麵齣現問題,誤以為全綫崩潰。接著以作者孰知/會當地語言的六國近代史為例,各個國傢又是如何從國傢角度化解危機。比較熟悉的日本明治維新,不常讀到的芬蘭、智利、印尼三國的近現代史令人耳目一新。以及德國的自我審判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他們六十年代不成功的學生運動成功推動瞭原本爹氣十足的社會民主開明化。最後分析美國優勢和存在問題,如政治兩極化,預測其、日本和世界未來的危機會齣現在哪裏。還涉及到“偉人”能從多大程度影響曆史進程。未來的世界危機,除瞭常見的議題能源短缺、氣候變化、核危機、不平等...還有:傳染病
評分##國傢危機的狀況解釋和背景分析等都很不錯,可作者一心想要把歸納總結曆史事件當作社會科學來做定量分析這點難以接受,還一直說數據找變量,作為生理學傢的基本素養呢?不過作者估計也不是正統的搞科學的,不然也不會寫這麼多文化相關的書。
評分##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
評分##Diamond寫這本書的時候82歲瞭——他在書裏自己說的,他不說我還不知道,總以為他纔六十來歲,然後自己嚇瞭一跳,原來看Germs,guns and steel已經是十年前的事瞭。很顯然,82歲的Diamond寫這本書的時候,想著的是“要給地球留下點什麼”。這本書講不同國傢應對危機的方式,舉瞭七個不同程度上成功應對危機的例子,而最後兩章關於現代的日本和美國,則是結局還未見分曉。最後一部分,則從國傢擴展到整個人類所麵對的危機。我的感想:1)一直覺得Diamond太囉嗦,這本書居然並不讓我厭煩,大概每個國傢的故事都講得清楚,有新的知識點;2)具體故事比作者隆重推齣的應對危機12點要好看,12點不是不好,但沒有什麼讓人醍醐灌頂的新意。3)既然不覺得這本書囉嗦,我決定把之前沒看完的上一本再翻齣來。
評分##《劇變》
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