How Not to Be Wrong

How Not to Be Wrong pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2026

Jordan Ellenberg
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CONTENTS
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Epigraph

WHEN AM I GOING TO USE THIS?
PART I
Linearity
One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN
Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY
Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE
Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS?
Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE
PART II
Inference
Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE
Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS
Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY
Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY
Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE
PART III
Expectation
Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY
Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES!
Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET
PART IV
Regression
Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY
Fifteen. GALTON’S ELLIPSE
Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES?
PART V
Existence
Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION
Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE”
HOW TO BE RIGHT

Acknowledgments
Notes
Index
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具體描述

The Freakonomics of math—a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands

The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn’t confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do—the whole world is shot through with it.

Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It’s a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does “public opinion” really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?

用戶評價

評分

##“Maybe individual people seem irrational because they aren’t really individuals. Each one of us is a little nation-state, doing our best to settle disputes and broker compromises between the squabbling voices that drive us.”

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##2015讀畢。

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##讀瞭一半不想讀瞭

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##李剋忠思想法,看著玩玩還行。有些插科打諢,比如說George是真·cutest Beatle,還是很好玩的。

評分

##能把數學尤其是統計學講得這麼生動也是不易,這是一本可以當故事書看的數學書。

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##cant even finish it... too general and too common sense

評分

##一本圖書館藉的書,讀完以後主動去買瞭自己收藏的統計學科普圖書。

評分

##cant even finish it... too general and too common sense

評分

##statistical inference科普

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