The Fifth Risk

The Fifth Risk pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

Michael Lewis
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具体描述

What are the consequences if the people given control over our government have no idea how it works?

"The election happened," remembers Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, then deputy secretary of the Department of Energy. "And then there was radio silence." Across all departments, similar stories were playing out: Trump appointees were few and far between; those that did show up were shockingly uninformed about the functions of their new workplace. Some even threw away the briefing books that had been prepared for them.

Michael Lewis’s brilliant narrative takes us into the engine rooms of a government under attack by its own leaders. In Agriculture the funding of vital programs like food stamps and school lunches is being slashed. The Commerce Department may not have enough staff to conduct the 2020 Census properly. Over at Energy, where international nuclear risk is managed, it’s not clear there will be enough inspectors to track and locate black market uranium before terrorists do.

Willful ignorance plays a role in these looming disasters. If your ambition is to maximize short-term gains without regard to the long-term cost, you are better off not knowing those costs. If you want to preserve your personal immunity to the hard problems, it’s better never to really understand those problems. There is upside to ignorance, and downside to knowledge. Knowledge makes life messier. It makes it a bit more difficult for a person who wishes to shrink the world to a worldview.

If there are dangerous fools in this book, there are also heroes, unsung, of course. They are the linchpins of the system―those public servants whose knowledge, dedication, and proactivity keep the machinery running. Michael Lewis finds them, and he asks them what keeps them up at night.

用户评价

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##有点散的流水账,中心思想不过是it's the risks that we fail to imagine that get us killed,扯上特朗普岂不是格局小了?

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##简明扼要的从democratic establishment的角度阐述了三个问题:管核武器靠科学,美国农村要遭殃因为淳朴的USDA都不喜欢Trump people,飓风路线很随机预测天气还得靠卫星但是大数据还是nb

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##可读性很强

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##19#09 终于等到了Michael Lewis的新书,但是读起来远没有之前的作品有意思,第三章的最后一个故事我更是在抱娃睡觉的困倦中忍无可忍地索性跳过了。这一方面是题材的问题:本作讲的不是金融圈的光怪陆离,而是(在黑川普的底色下)讲述了美国政治系统的成就、问题和隐忧。另一方面,本作与前作之前的差异也是立场上的:无论是Liar's Poker, The Big Short还是Flash Boys,Lewis都是站在“全球性正确”的立场(中小投资者保护是其中重要的一点)上针砭金融界公认的弊端,嬉笑怒骂畅快淋漓;但本作立场局限于美国国内政治中的一派,是非曲直外人既无共鸣,又难判断。尽管如此,读后确实对美国政府一些部门的具体工作有了更深的认识。

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有点敷衍。去年Michael Lewis在名利场上写过两篇文章Why the Scariest Nuclear Threat May Be Coming from Inside the White House & Inside Trump's Cruel Campaign Against the U.S.D.A.'s Scientists,这两篇关于能源部和农业部的文章覆盖了本书2/3的内容。

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##打書釘,又一斷斷續續三四個月的長征 Write the impact of Trump's on the U.S. government. At first glance it seems that nothing wrong.Each of his policies has far-reaching effects & at the same time weakens of the USA.The author's so-called the fifth risk refers to the mismanagement of government programs.Take the entire USA into very dangerous & uncharted territory

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##Program management.

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有点敷衍。去年Michael Lewis在名利场上写过两篇文章Why the Scariest Nuclear Threat May Be Coming from Inside the White House & Inside Trump's Cruel Campaign Against the U.S.D.A.'s Scientists,这两篇关于能源部和农业部的文章覆盖了本书2/3的内容。

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##作者例证了现代政府诸多关键职能都要求相当的科学专业素养,不仅是为了破除新自由主义鼓吹的小政府主义迷思,唤起民众对政府工作的关注,更是为了向世人发出警告,当利益团体打着意识形态的旗号绑架政府,罔顾科学而谋取私利时,将对民主社会带来怎样严重而长久的危害。本书成书于川普赢得竞选之际,作者只能对政府交接时新政权的混乱和短视忧心忡忡,当然还不知道即将到来的疫情黑天鹅,这就不禁让人好奇他现今看到美帝新冠死亡人数接近1M会作何感想。结果一搜发现人家果然又写了一本《The Premonition: A Pandemic Story》专门聊这事。

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