Narrative Economics

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Robert J. Shiller
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具体描述

From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events

In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.

Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.

The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.

用户评价

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##这本书主要讨论历史上一些经典的narrative对经济的影响,比如the Great Depression, Real Estate Bubble, the Golden Standard, Bitcoin 等等,Robert Shiller还阐述了他对narrative特点的理解。确实给读者对理解经济行为产生的原因增加了一个很重要的维度。

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##经济现象的社会心理学

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##好像什么都说了,又好像什么都没说。。。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##传统的经济学建立在一个假设前提的基础上: 所有的人都是理性的,然而现实并非如此。越来越多的经济学家在关注其他因素对经济的影响。叙事对经济一定是有影响的,不过要做叙事经济学的研究有很多还未解决的问题,我能想到的作者在书里最后一部分都提到了,比如很难证明和量化叙事和经济变化之间的因果或相关性,还没有找到非常科学的方法论,和同一经济问题相关的叙事纷繁复杂,有相似的有矛盾的,数据收集也是问题。作者在第三部分的九个章节里列举的几个典型叙事对经济的影响也是基于上述原因,欠缺了些说服力。不过提出这个概念是很有意义的。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##这本书主要讨论历史上一些经典的narrative对经济的影响,比如the Great Depression, Real Estate Bubble, the Golden Standard, Bitcoin 等等,Robert Shiller还阐述了他对narrative特点的理解。确实给读者对理解经济行为产生的原因增加了一个很重要的维度。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##偶像的新书,留一星给期待(๑˙ー˙๑) Financial Communication作品,Shiller探了条好路,读这类新颖作品不在于给你答案,这类奴才教育下的懒惰惯性思维。而在于扩展个人思维广度与深度,边读边辨别其真假。 Shiller老师的作品,虽然有些著作水平高地不一,但一直没让我失望。 搁置一季,记下,再读一遍定有收获👍

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##Who to deeply understand behavioral & psychological economics #getAbstract

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##好像什么都说了,又好像什么都没说。。。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

##传统的经济学建立在一个假设前提的基础上: 所有的人都是理性的,然而现实并非如此。越来越多的经济学家在关注其他因素对经济的影响。叙事对经济一定是有影响的,不过要做叙事经济学的研究有很多还未解决的问题,我能想到的作者在书里最后一部分都提到了,比如很难证明和量化叙事和经济变化之间的因果或相关性,还没有找到非常科学的方法论,和同一经济问题相关的叙事纷繁复杂,有相似的有矛盾的,数据收集也是问题。作者在第三部分的九个章节里列举的几个典型叙事对经济的影响也是基于上述原因,欠缺了些说服力。不过提出这个概念是很有意义的。

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