統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf  mobi txt 電子書 下載

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024


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齣版社: 世界圖書齣版公司
ISBN:9787506271813
版次:1
商品編碼:10175537
包裝:平裝
開本:24開
齣版時間:2004-11-01
用紙:膠版紙
頁數:617

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024



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內容簡介

  The relationships (both conceptual and mathematical) between Bayesian analysis and statistical decision theory are so strong that it is somewhat unnatural to learn one without the other. Nevertheless, major portions of each have developed separately. On the Bayesian side, there is an extensively developed Bayesian theory of statistical inference (both subjective and objective versions). This theory recognizes the importance of viewing statistical analysis conditionally (i.e., treating observed data as known rather than unknown), even when no loss function is to be incorporated into the analysis. There is also a well-developed (frequentist) decision theory, which avoids formal utilization of prior distributions and seeks to provide a foundation for frequentist statistical theory. Although the central thread of the book will be Bayesian decision theory, both Bayesian inference and non-Bayesian decision theory will be extensively discussed. Indeed, the book is written so as to allow, say, the teaching of a course on either subject separately.

目錄

CHAPTER 1
Basic Concepts
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Basic Elements
1.3 Expected Loss, Decision Rules, and Risk
1.3.1 Bayesian Expected Loss
1.3.2 Frequentist Risk
1.4 Randomized Decision Rules
1.5 Decision Principles
1.5.1 The Conditional Bayes Decision Principle
1.5.2 Frequentist Decision Principles
1.6 Foundations
1.6.1 Misuse of Classical Inference Procedures
1.6.2 The Frequentist Perspective
1.6.3 The Conditional Perspective
1.6.4 The Likelihood Principle
1.6.5 Choosing a Paradigm or Decision Principle
1.7 Sufficient Statistics
1.8 Convexity
Exercises
CHAPTER 2 Utility and Loss
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Utility Theory
2.3 The Utility of Money
2.4 The Loss Function
2.4.1 Development from Utility Theory
2.4.2 Certain Standard Loss Functions
2.4.3 For Inference Problems
2.4.4 For Predictive Problems
2.4.5 Vector Valued Loss Functions
2.5 Criticisms
Exercises
CHAPTER 3 Prior Information and Subjective Probability
3.1 Subjective Probability
3.2 Subjective Determination of the Prior Density
3.3 Noninformative Priors
3.3.1 Introduction
3.3.2 Noninformative Priors for Location and Scale Problems
3.3.3 Noninformative Priors in General Settings
3.3.4 Discussion
3.4 Maximum Entropy Priors
3.5 Using the Marginal Distribution to Determine the Prior
3.5.1 The Marginal Distribution
3.5.2 Information About tn
3.5.3 Restricted Classes of Priors
3.5.4 The ML-II Approach to Prior Selection
3.5.5 The Moment Approach to Prior Selection
3.5.6 The Distance Approach to Prior Selection
3.5.7 Marginal Exchangeability
3.6 Hierarchical Priors
3.7 Criticisms
3.8 The Statisticians Role
Exercises
CHAPTER 4 Bayesian Analysis
4.1 Introduction
4.2 The Posterior Distribution
4.2.1 Definition and Determination
4.2.2 Conjugate Families
4.2.3 Improper Priors
4.3 Bayesian Inference
4.3.1 Estimation
4.3.2 Credible Sets
4.3.3 Hypothesis Testing
4.3.4 Predictive Inference
4.4 Bayesian Decision Theory
4.4.1 Posterior Decision Analysis
4.4.2 Estimation
4.4.3 Finite Action Problems and Hypothesis Testing
4.4.4 With Inference Losses
4.5 Empirical Bayes Analysis
4.5.1 Introduction
4.5.2 PEB For Normal Means--The Exchangeable Case
4.5.3 PEB For Normal Means--The General Case
4.5.4 Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Analysis
4.6 Hierarchical Bayes Analysis
4.6.1 Introduction
4.6.2 For Normal Means--The Exchangeable Case
4.6.3 For Normal Means--The General Case
4.6.4 Comparison with Empirical Bayes Analysis
4.7 Bayesian Robustness
4.7.1 Introduction
4.7.2 The Role of the Marginal Distribution
4.7.3 Posterior Robustness: Basic Concepts
4.7.4 Posterior Robustness: s-Contamination Class
4.7.5 Bayes Risk Robustness and Use of Frequentist Measures
4.7.6 Gamma-Minimax Approach
4.7.7 Uses of the Risk Function
4.7.8 Some Robust and Nonrobust Situations
4.7.9 Robust Priors
4.7.10 Robust Priors for Normal Means
4.7.11 Other Issues in Robustness
4.8 Admissibility of Bayes Rules and Long Run Evaluations
4.8.1 Admissibility of Bayes Rules
4.8.2 Admissibility of Generalized Bayes Rules
4.8.3 Inadmissibility and Long Run Evaluations
4.9 Bayesian Calculation
4.9.1 Numerical Integration
4.9.2 Monte Carlo Integration
4.9.3 Analytic Approximations
4.10 Bayesian Communication
4.10.1 Introduction
4.10.2 An Illustration: Testing a Point Null Hypothesis
4.11 Combining Evidence and Group Decisions
4.11.1 Combining Probabilistic Evidence
4.11.2 Combining Decision-Theoretic Evidence
4.11.3 Group Decision Making
4.12 Criticisms
4.12.1 Non-Bayesian Criticisms
4.12.2 Foundational Criticisms
Exercises
CHAPTER 5 Minimax Analysis
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Game Theory
5.2.1 Basic Elements
5.2.2 General Techniques for Solving Games
5.2.3 Finite Games
5.2.4 Games with Finite
5.2.5 The Supporting and Separating Hyperplane Theorems
5.2.6 The Minimax Theorem
5.3 Statistical Games
5.3.1 Introduction
5.3.2 General Techniques for Solving Statistical Games
5.3.3 Statistical Games with Finite
5.4 Classes of Minimax Estimators
5.4.1 Introduction
5.4.2 The Unbiased Estimator of Risk
5.4.3 Minimax Estimators of a Normal Mean Vector
5.4.4 Minimax Estimators of Poisson Means
5.5 Evaluation of the Minimax Principle
5.5.1 Admissibility of Minimax Rules
5.5.2 Rationality and the Minimax Principle
5.5.3 Comparison with the Bayesian Approach
5.5.4 The Desire to Act Conservatively
5.5.5 Minimax Regret
5.5.6 Conclusions
Exercises
CHAPTER 6 Invariance
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Formulation
6.2.1 Groups of Transformations
6.2.2 Invariant Decision Problems
6.2.3 Invariant Decision Rules
6.3 Location Parameter Problems
6.4 Other Examples of Invariance
6.5 Maximal lnvariants
6.6 Invariance and Noninformative Priors
6.6.1 Right and Left Invariant Haar Densities
6.6.2 The Best Invariant Rule
6.6.3 Confidence and Credible Sets
6.7 Invariance and Minimaxity
6.8 Admissibility of Invariant Rules
6.9 Conclusions
Exercises
CHAPTER 7 Preposterior and Sequential Analysis
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Optimal Fixed Sample Size
7.3 Sequential Analysis--Notation
7.4 Bayesian Sequential Analysis
7.4.1 Introduction
7.4.2 Notation
7.4.3 The Bayes Decision Rule
7.4.4 Constant Posterior Bayes Risk
7.4.5 The Bayes Truncated Procedure
7.4.6 Look Ahead Procedures
7.4.7 Inner Truncation
7.4.8 Approximating the Bayes Procedure and the Bayes Risk
7.4.9 Theoretical Results
7.4.10 Other Techniques for Finding a Bayes Procedure
7.5 The Sequential Probability Ratio Test
7.5.1 The SPRT as a Bayes Procedure
7.5.2 Approximating the Power Function and the Expected Sample Size
7.5.3 Accuracy of the Wald Approximations
7.5.4 Bayes Risk and Admissibility
7.5.5 Other Uses of the SPRT
7.6 Minimax Sequential Procedures
7.7 The Evidential Relevance of the Stopping Rule
7.7.1 Introduction
7.7.2 The Stopping Rule Principle
7.7.3 Practical Implications
7.7.4 Criticisms of the Stopping Rule Principle
7.7.5 Informative Stopping Rules
7.8 Discussion of Sequential Loss Functions
Exercises
CHAPTER 8 Complete and Essentially Complete Classes
8.1 Preliminaries
8.2 Complete and Essentially Complete Classes from Earlier Chapters
8.2.1 Decision Rules Based on a Sufficient Statistic
8.2.2 Nonrandomized Decision Rules
8.2.3 Finite O
8.2.4 The Neyman-Pearson Lemma
8.3 One-Sided Testing
8.4 Monotone Decision Problems
8.4.1 Monotone Multiple Decision Problems
8.4.2 Monotone Estimation Problems
8.5 Limits of Bayes Rules
8.6 Other Complete and Essentially Complete Classes of Tests
8.6.1 Two-Sided Testing
8.6.2 Higher Dimensional Results
8.6.3 Sequential Testing
8.7 Complete and Essentially Complete Classes in Estimation
8.7.1 Generalized Bayes Estimators
8.7.2 Identifying Generalized Bayes Estimators
8.8 Continuous Risk Functions
8.9 Proving Admissibility and Inadmissibility
8.9.1 Steins Necessary and Sufficient Condition for Admissibility
8.9.2 Proving Admissibility
8.9.3 Proving Inadmissibility
8.9.4 Minimal or Nearly Minimal Complete Classes
Exercises
APPENDIX 1 Common Statistical Densities
I Continuous
II Discrete
APPENDIX 2 Supplement to Chapter 4
I Definition and Properties of Hm
II Development of (4.121) and (4.122)
III Verification of Formula (4.123)
APPENDIX 3 Technical Arguments from Chapter 7

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) 下載 epub mobi pdf txt 電子書

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) pdf 下載 mobi 下載 pub 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) mobi pdf epub txt 電子書 下載 2024

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載
想要找書就要到 靜思書屋
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

讀者評價

評分

不錯不錯 價格實惠速度快

評分

  有一章專講概率推理,接下來的一章講貝葉斯網絡,包括連續時間的貝葉斯網絡,後麵還有一章講瞭動態貝葉斯網絡和隱式馬爾可夫模型的內容。此書作者Peter Norvig是google研發部總監,水平確實不是一般的高,很多基本概念和基本思想深入淺齣、娓娓道來,貝葉斯網絡還附瞭習題,紙上的和編程都有這一點尤其難得。另外此書的參考文獻極為豐富,可惜被天煞的人民郵電齣版社給砍掉瞭。

評分

  《貝葉斯方法(英文版)》

評分

  以上是我覺得較為好的兩本,也是讀得比較認真的兩本。從貝葉斯理論的基本概念開始講起,公式推導十分詳細,還有非常豐富的實例以及相關理論的應用。 《貝葉斯網引論》最值得稱道的一點是上麵大部分的算法都給齣瞭圖示,也就是隨著算法一次次迭代的過程,整個貝葉斯網絡變化過程的圖示,這樣的算法纔是讀者真正能夠看明白的算法。

評分

  王雙成《貝葉斯網絡學習、推理與應用》

評分

評分

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版)統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版)

評分

非常不錯的書 活動買的很便宜

評分

  目前看過的講貝葉斯方法最通俗易懂的書瞭

統計決策理論和貝葉斯分析(第2版) epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024

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