具體描述
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用戶評價
##大時代兒女必讀書目。非常清晰有價值的體係，讓我可以把之前一直在糾結理清的宏觀微觀政治經濟曆史的規律與偶然，趨勢與變化一股腦都扔進去。
評分 評分 評分 評分##副標題：《原則》作者新書，又對中國有話說 本文首發於微信公眾號“花和尚的跑馬地”—《[全球最大對衝基金創始人告訴你1400年的“大周期”]》 下麵對於未來10年的預測裏有讓你睏惑的嗎？ 1. 未來10年，世界上爆發大戰的可能性是35% 2. 美國處於自身周期約70%的位置，在未來10...
評分 評分 評分##大曆史角度寫的國傢和市場變遷，印象最深的有兩條：如果20世紀初投資美英中法俄日荷意法奧10個國傢的股債現金大類資産，其中7個國傢的投資會清零（有些還不止一次）；作者篇尾預測中美未來十年軍事衝突的可能是35%。。。
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