Narrative Economics

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Robert J. Shiller
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Princeton University Press 2019-10-1 Hardcover 9780691182292

具體描述

Robert J. Shiller is a Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist, the author of the New York Times bestseller Irrational Exuberance, and the coauthor, with George A. Akerlof, of Phishing for Phools and Animal Spirits, among other books (all Princeton). He is Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University and a regular contributor to the New York Times. He lives in New Haven, Connecticut. Twitter @RobertJShiller

From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events

In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.

Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.

The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.

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##《讀書》2022年6期新刊 二〇〇七年,滬市指數突破六韆點,有經濟學傢不斷鼓吹“一萬點可期”。當時,我所熟悉的某所地方高校,教研之餘,幾乎所有人都在議論股市。其中一位哲學教授,更是放棄瞭購買單位廉價自建房的機會,把原本用於購房的錢,全都投嚮股市。“高光”時刻每天...  

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這本書可以和前幾天聽的那本《把自己當做方法》對照著聽。作者是諾貝爾經濟學奬得主,諾奬作者寫的書,可以作為一個專題,都拿來聽一聽。 既然叫做“敘事經濟學”,“敘事”就是講故事,那本書自然也必須要生動一些,不能隻有理論。所以作者講瞭兩個重要的案例。 第一個:關於...  

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##想法其實挺簡單,在傳統經濟理論中加入行為學因素。是個應景的理論,因為隨著科技發展,消息的傳播越來越快。一句話概括全書: thought viruses are responsible for many of the changes we observe in economic activities, and it's gonna come again, again and again. 這本書寫得不咋的,但充分激發瞭我學習病理學等自然科學的熱情。感覺未來傳統學科的第二春也隻能來自跨學科交融的突變(mutation)瞭。以及,得流量者得天下啊。

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##翻譯真的太差勁瞭,看的十分吃力。而且因為有人類簡史的中譯版在前,閱讀體驗的對比就更加明顯。我不明白是這本書的專業性太強還是怎麼的,怎麼翻譯的就那麼生硬呢?看的真的讓人好難受,完全無法引人入勝。 硬著頭皮把這本書看完,內容還是不錯的。把人文和經濟兩個概念聯係起...  

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##翻譯真的太差勁瞭,看的十分吃力。而且因為有人類簡史的中譯版在前,閱讀體驗的對比就更加明顯。我不明白是這本書的專業性太強還是怎麼的,怎麼翻譯的就那麼生硬呢?看的真的讓人好難受,完全無法引人入勝。 硬著頭皮把這本書看完,內容還是不錯的。把人文和經濟兩個概念聯係起...  

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