內容簡介
Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
作者簡介
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.
Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 epub mobi pdf txt 電子書
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現貨
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書很不錯!正版!
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收到,應該是正品的,李笑來老師推薦的,無論如何要把這本書肯下來
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還在閱讀中內容有點難懂,值得細細品味
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經過五十幾天的等待,書終於拿到瞭,但是有些小失望。首先是包裝不好,連塑封都沒有,書邊都捲瞭,書皮還有劃痕。能看齣漂洋過海,旅途顛簸!隻是不知道彆的海外購書是否也是如此!再有就是書的紙張一般。書的內容還沒有看就讓人不愉快!給五分是對京東的期望與鼓勵!
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産品的包裝非常精美,包裝盒內還加瞭空氣袋,物流也很快,為京東點贊!
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購物體驗很好,還會繼續購買
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英文原版書第一次購買
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等瞭很長時間纔到,貨還沒有開始看。