The Sovereign Individual

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James Dale Davidson
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Free Press 1999-08-26 Paperback 9780684832722

具体描述

Two renowned investment advisors and authors of the bestseller The Great Reckoning bring to light both currents of disaster and the potential for prosperity and renewal in the face of radical changes in human history as we move into the next century. The Sovereign Individual details strategies necessary for adapting financially to the next phase of Western civilization.

Few observers of the late twentieth century have their fingers so presciently on the pulse of the global political and economic realignment ushering in the new millennium as do James Dale Davidson and Lord William Rees-Mogg. Their bold prediction of disaster on Wall Street in Blood in the Streets was borne out by Black Tuesday. In their ensuing bestsellar, The Great Reckoning, published just weeks before the coup attempt against Gorbachev, they analyzed the pending collapse of the Soviet Union and foretold the civil war in Yugoslavia and other events that have proved to be among the most searing developments of the past few years.

In The Sovereign Individual, Davidson and Rees-Mogg explore the greatest economic and political transition in centuries -- the shift from an industrial to an information-based society. This transition, which they have termed "the fourth stage of human society," will liberate individuals as never before, irrevocably altering the power of government. This outstanding book will replace false hopes and fictions with new understanding and clarified values.

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##前半部分对历史的分析,对政府作为暴力组织形式的形成和变化由来说得非常精彩,论证详实严密,非常引发人的思考,相比之下,确实后面的预测有些过于天马行空,缺乏前面部分那样的推理和论证。在97年,是很难预测到信息茧房的发生,预测到社交媒体对不同人群的观点产生极化作用,从而导致反全球化的。我觉得他描写的确实是21世纪初大家对互联网和全球化的想象,我在当年也是带着这种想象,全世界大同,去美国,去做互联网的。不过也有一个可能,就是现在的反全球化也只是短期的事件,从100年的尺度来看,他说的还是会继续发生,我们在21世纪20年代经历的反全球化,孤立主义,只是在民族国家消亡之前的现有政府组织形式的一个回光返照过程。

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##这本书改变了我对一切的看法

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##今年最让我“确定”的书

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##前半段非常精彩,考虑到写于上世纪更令人难以置信。可惜后半段质量差好多,完全可以精简下砍掉很多重复和与主线关联不大的部分就更完美了

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##在那个时代能想到这么多确实很厉害了

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