具體描述
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用戶評價
##宏大的史觀和抽絲剝繭後鞭闢入裏的總結，非常值得一讀。
評分##概括起來：中國稱霸世界指日可待，概率最大
評分##meaningful work and meaningful relationship。醍醐灌頂
評分##宏大的史觀和抽絲剝繭後鞭闢入裏的總結，非常值得一讀。
評分##達利歐 "原則"係列的另一著作，格局非常宏大的一本書。 作者通過研究過去十幾個世紀，主要著重筆墨在過去500年的荷蘭帝國、大英帝國、現今的美國、以及快速崛起的中國的曆史，用不同的維度指標來衡量帝國的興衰。比如科技教育、貨幣資本市場、階級對立、國內外政治環境等等來分析。個人基本贊同他的觀點，隻不過後麵還有很多變數，大到他的計算機模型還是需要做很多調整。 作者在最後還給齣瞭一些人生意見: whatever success I've had has been more due to my knowing how to deal with what I don't know than anything I know. 未雨綢繆總是沒錯。 全書讀起來像和一位智者對話，和他的《原則》一樣受益匪
評分##語言平實樸素，適閤有條件的初高中讀者拿來作課外拓展讀物
評分##曆史的pattern如此顯而易見，然而許多人像喂瞭100天的雞一樣看不見。大變局正在發生
評分##大時代兒女必讀書目。非常清晰有價值的體係，讓我可以把之前一直在糾結理清的宏觀微觀政治經濟曆史的規律與偶然，趨勢與變化一股腦都扔進去。
評分##概括起來：中國稱霸世界指日可待，概率最大
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