The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来英文原版 [平装] pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2025

Name: The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 2025
SKU: 19016952
Rating: 4 (10 reviews)

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb（纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布）著

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出版社： Random House

ISBN：9780812973815

商品编码：19016952

包装：平装

丛书名： Incerto

出版时间：2010-05-11

用纸：胶版纸

页数：480

正文语种：英文

商品尺寸：21.84x11.43x2.54cm

具体描述

编辑推荐

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

用户评价

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货已收到，很满意，是本好书啊！风险提示不能忘啊！

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非常满意的一本图书，真的是不错。

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这类的书都应该看看避免大规模的风险

评分☆☆☆☆☆

我为什么喜欢在京东买东西，因为今天买明天就可以送到。我为什么每个商品的评价都一样，因为在京东买的东西太多太多了，导致积累了很多未评价的订单，所以我统一用段话作为评价内容。京东购物这么久，有买到很好的产品，也有买到比较坑的产品，如果我用这段话来评价，说明这款产品没问题，至少85分以上，而比较垃圾的产品，我绝对不会偷懒到复制粘贴评价，我绝对会用心的差评，这样其他消费者在购买的时候会作为参考，会影响该商品销量，而商家也会因此改进商品质量。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

京东太过分了！下单的时候有货，支付了就没货了！等了一个多月！这次差评

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非常值得一读！

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送货快，包装好，价格便宜。

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非常值得一读！

评分☆☆☆☆☆

内容不用说了，粗略翻了很棒。得表扬下京东快递，不光送上楼，而且书很完美，边角一点砸痕没有，