The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

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The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

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编辑推荐

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

内容简介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩书评

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

The Black Swan 黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来 英文原版 [平装] 下载 epub mobi pdf txt 电子书 2025

评分☆☆☆☆☆

看过前一版的，但升级版不知怎样

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商品包装完整，内容有些可读性。

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什么都好，就是书有污垢，白色的书，脏了。心情不好了。。

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内容不用说了，粗略翻了很棒。得表扬下京东快递，不光送上楼，而且书很完美，边角一点砸痕没有，

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快递包装好，服务态度好，好看好看，值得推荐

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好书，先屯起来慢慢看：）

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书到的很快，谢谢京东

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思维决策预测，值得阅读

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最后面粘在一起烂了好几页

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